Welcome!

API Journal Authors: Elizabeth White, Carmen Gonzalez, Liz McMillan, Pat Romanski, Jonathan Fries

News Feed Item

Future of Communication 2020 - Telco & OTT communication - Market forecasts

NEW YORK, Jan. 16, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- Reportlinker.com announces that a new market research report is available in its catalogue:

Future of Communication 2020 - Telco & OTT communication - Market forecasts

http://www.reportlinker.com/p01083638/Future-of-Communication-2020---Tel...

Communication being ubiquitious and IP-based solutions taking increasingly a bigger part in it, this market still remains essential despite decreasing revenues.

This report provides analyses on quantitative changes until 2020, in terms of usages and revenues. It also describes the latest trends, the re-positioning of telcos in an OTT world.

Key Questions

• What will be the key trends in communication by 2020? Will the total revenue pie of communication shrink or grow?

• How are telco margins evolving for communication? Simple substitution from fixed to mobile or revenue loss?

• In terms of usages, how will communication services evolve until 2020? What about OTT VoIP & SMS?

• What are the impacts of new technologies such as WebRTC or RCSe?

• Can telcos recover their territory from OTT players? Moreover, how much territory are they really losing, if any?

Contents

1. Executive Summary . 7

1.1. The six key trends shaping the market 81.2. Key developments in usage of communication services 91.3. The quantification of the communication market . 10

2. Methodology 12

3. Communication 2020 in figures 14

3.1. Key usage developments by 2020 14

3.1.1. Mobile users still much more dominant than OTT VoIP users 14

3.1.2. Messaging users of both telcos and OTTs expected to grow 15

3.1.3. Number of SMS sent still set to grow, but OTT messages are rapidly catching up16

3.2. The quantification of communication revenue by 2020 . 18

3.2.1. Overall communication services market expected to see very slight decline over

eight years from 2012 to 2020 18

3.2.2. Increase in mobile communication revenues cannot compensate for the decline in

fixed communication revenues . 20

3.2.3. Increase in telco messaging revenues cannot compensate for the decline in telco

voice revenues . 24

3.2.4. OTT communication revenues cannot compensate for decline in telco

communication revenues . 28

4. The six key trends in communication . 32

4.1. The aggregation of communication types 32

4.1.1. Introduction . 32

4.1.2. Facebook . 32

4.1.3. Google 34

4.1.4. WhatsApp 35

4.1.5. Apple . 35

4.1.6. Operators . 36

4.2. Beyond traditional communication for telcos 37

4.2.1. Introduction . 37

4.2.2. Operators providing their own OTT service 37

4.2.3. Partnerships between OTT and operators 39

4.2.4. joyn (RCSe) 40

4.3. Voice and messaging becoming a telco commodity 43

4.3.1. Introduction . 43

4.3.2. Mobile voice and messaging offered in abundance 43

4.3.3. Fixed voice and Internet access also unlimited 44

4.3.4. Bundling it all for an even cheaper experience . 45

4.4. Mobile data and WiFi makes strong case for OTTs 46

4.4.1. Introduction . 46

4.4.2. Unlimited mobile data still rare 46

4.4.3. WiFi over mobile allows unlimited OTT communication including video 47

4.5. The rise of video communication . 48

4.5.1. Introduction . 48

4.5.2. Telco video communications . 48

4.5.3. OTT video communications 48

4.6. Genuinely free OTT offers in exchange of user data . 52

4.6.1. Introduction . 52

4.6.2. Free or low-cost OTT services 52

4.6.3. Advertising and data usage 53

Tables

Table 1: Communication providers aggregating communication types . 8

Table 2: Communication providers aggregating communication types 32

Figures

Figure 1: Fixed telephony lines, mobile subscriptions and OTT VoIP users forecast, USA, 2012-

2020 . 9

Figure 2: Number of messages sent forecast by type, EU5, 2012-2020 . 10

Figure 3: Total communication revenue forecast by market segment, EU5 2012-2020 10

Figure 4: Telco revenue forecast by market segment, EU5, 2012-2020 . 11

Figure 5: Fixed telephony lines, mobile subscriptions and OTT VoIP users forecast, USA, 2012-

2020 14

Figure 6: Fixed telephony lines, mobile subscriptions and OTT VoIP users forecast, EU5, 2012-

2020 15

Figure 7: Messaging users forecast by type of message, USA, 2012-2020 15

Figure 8: Messaging users forecast by type of message, EU5, 2012-2020 16

Figure 9: Number of messages sent forecast by type, USA, 2012-2020 16

Figure 10: Share of messages sent, USA, 2012 and 2020 17

Figure 11: Number of messages sent forecast by type, EU5, 2012-2020 . 17

Figure 12: Share of messages sent, EU5, 2012 and 2020 18

Figure 13: Total communication revenue forecast by market segment, USA, 2012-2020 19

Figure 14: Total communication revenue share by market segment, USA, 2012 and 2020 19

Figure 15: Total communication revenue forecast by market segment, EU5, 2012-2020 . 20

Figure 16: Total communication revenue share by market segment, EU5, 2012 and 2020 . 20

Figure 17: Telco fixed and mobile communication revenue forecast, USA, 2012-2020 . 21

Figure 18: Total fixed telco revenue forecast (both communication and Internet & data), USA, 2012-

2020 21

Figure 19: Total mobile telco revenue forecast (both communication and Internet & data), USA,

2012-2020 22

Figure 20: Total telco revenues forecast (fixed and mobile, communication and noncommunication),

USA, 2012-2020 . 22

Figure 21: Telco fixed and mobile communication revenue forecast, EU5, 2012-2020 . 23

Figure 22: Total fixed telco revenue forecast (both communication and Internet & data), EU5, 2012-

2020 23

Figure 23: Total mobile telco revenue forecast (both communication and Internet & data), EU5,

2012-2020 24

Figure 24: Total telco revenues forecast (fixed and mobile, communication and noncommunication),

EU5, 2012-2020 . 24

Figure 25: Telco fixed voice, mobile voice and messaging revenues forecast, USA, 2012-2020 . 25

Figure 26: Share of messaging revenue, USA, 2012 and 2020 . 25

Figure 27: SMS and other messaging services revenues forecast, USA, 2012-2020 . 26

Figure 28: Share of SMS and other messaging services revenues, USA, 2012 and 2020 26

Figure 29: Telco fixed voice, mobile voice and mobile messaging revenue forecast, EU5, 2012-

2020 27

Figure 30: Share of messaging revenue, EU5, 2012 and 2020 . 27

Figure 31: SMS and other messaging services revenues forecast, EU5, 2012-2020 . 28

Figure 32: Share of SMS and other messaging services revenues, EU5, 2012 and 2020 28

Figure 33: OTT communication revenue forecast by segment, USA, 2012-2020 . 29

Figure 34: Share of OTT communication revenue by segment, USA, 2012 and 2020 29

Figure 35: Comparison of telco and OTT communication revenues, USA, 2012-2020 30

Figure 36: OTT communication revenue forecast by segment, EU5, 2012-2020 . 30

Figure 37: Share of OTT communication revenue by segment, EU5, 2012 and 2020 31

Figure 38: Comparison of telco and OTT communication revenues, EU5, 2012-2020 31

Figure 39: The new look of Facebook messages . 33

Figure 40: Bobsled, by T-Mobile, allows voice calls on Facebook chat . 33

Figure 41: Video-calling option within Facebook 34

Figure 42: FaceTime from Apple 36

Figure 43: Media Centre Cloud service by Deutsche Telekom 36

Figure 44: The TU Me app by Telefonica 37

Figure 45: Key features of the Bobsled app by T-Mobile USA 38

Figure 46: International Favourites, by O2 UK 38

Figure 47: The Skype-on-Three offer which incurs no data charges 39

Figure 48: Skype on KDDI 39

Figure 49: WhatsApp offering from Three Hong Kong 40

Figure 50: The 'joyn' service, led by the GSMA . 41

Figure 51: OEM ecosystem for joyn . 42

Figure 52: Orange France mobile plans offer unlimited calls and SMS in their cheapest plans . 44

Figure 53: BT offers unlimited calls (national) and Internet 44

Figure 54: Quadruple bundle from Orange, further commoditising voice and messaging . 45

Figure 55: Penetration of bundled services in European households . 46

Figure 56: A comparison of Sprint, AT&T and Verizon's smartphone data plan, by Sprint 47

Figure 57: Video call tariffs 48

Figure 58: A FaceTime video communication between an iPhone user and an iPad user 49

Figure 59: A Skype video communication using the Skype application . 49

Figure 60: An example of WebRTC integration for video calls on Google Chrome . 50

Figure 61: A GTalk video chat (using the Flash plug-in) 51

Figure 62: A Windows Live Messenger window with an ad at the bottom 52

Figure 63: Falcon Pro for Twitter sold inn the Google Play app store at 0.79 EUR 53

Figure 64: WhatsApp Messenger price information before downloading the app . 53

Figure 65: Facebook targeted advertising on the user's wall . 54

To order this report:: Future of Communication 2020 - Telco & OTT communication - Market forecasts

Nicolas Bombourg
Reportlinker
Email: [email protected]
US: (805) 652-2626
Intl: +1 805-652-2626

SOURCE Reportlinker

More Stories By PR Newswire

Copyright © 2007 PR Newswire. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of PRNewswire content is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of PRNewswire. PRNewswire shall not be liable for any errors or delays in the content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon.

@ThingsExpo Stories
More and more brands have jumped on the IoT bandwagon. We have an excess of wearables – activity trackers, smartwatches, smart glasses and sneakers, and more that track seemingly endless datapoints. However, most consumers have no idea what “IoT” means. Creating more wearables that track data shouldn't be the aim of brands; delivering meaningful, tangible relevance to their users should be. We're in a period in which the IoT pendulum is still swinging. Initially, it swung toward "smart for smar...
"Dice has been around for the last 20 years. We have been helping tech professionals find new jobs and career opportunities," explained Manish Dixit, VP of Product and Engineering at Dice, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at 19th Cloud Expo, held November 1-3, 2016, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA.
Complete Internet of Things (IoT) embedded device security is not just about the device but involves the entire product’s identity, data and control integrity, and services traversing the cloud. A device can no longer be looked at as an island; it is a part of a system. In fact, given the cross-domain interactions enabled by IoT it could be a part of many systems. Also, depending on where the device is deployed, for example, in the office building versus a factory floor or oil field, security ha...
"ReadyTalk is an audio and web video conferencing provider. We've really come to embrace WebRTC as the platform for our future of technology," explained Dan Cunningham, CTO of ReadyTalk, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at WebRTC Summit at 19th Cloud Expo, held November 1-3, 2016, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA.
"At ROHA we develop an app called Catcha. It was developed after we spent a year meeting with, talking to, interacting with senior citizens watching them use their smartphones and talking to them about how they use their smartphones so we could get to know their smartphone behavior," explained Dave Woods, Chief Innovation Officer at ROHA, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at 19th Cloud Expo, held November 1-3, 2016, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA.
WebRTC is the future of browser-to-browser communications, and continues to make inroads into the traditional, difficult, plug-in web communications world. The 6th WebRTC Summit continues our tradition of delivering the latest and greatest presentations within the world of WebRTC. Topics include voice calling, video chat, P2P file sharing, and use cases that have already leveraged the power and convenience of WebRTC.
The many IoT deployments around the world are busy integrating smart devices and sensors into their enterprise IT infrastructures. Yet all of this technology – and there are an amazing number of choices – is of no use without the software to gather, communicate, and analyze the new data flows. Without software, there is no IT. In this power panel at @ThingsExpo, moderated by Conference Chair Roger Strukhoff, Dave McCarthy, Director of Products at Bsquare Corporation; Alan Williamson, Principal...
20th Cloud Expo, taking place June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY, will feature technical sessions from a rock star conference faculty and the leading industry players in the world. Cloud computing is now being embraced by a majority of enterprises of all sizes. Yesterday's debate about public vs. private has transformed into the reality of hybrid cloud: a recent survey shows that 74% of enterprises have a hybrid cloud strategy.
An IoT product’s log files speak volumes about what’s happening with your products in the field, pinpointing current and potential issues, and enabling you to predict failures and save millions of dollars in inventory. But until recently, no one knew how to listen. In his session at @ThingsExpo, Dan Gettens, Chief Research Officer at OnProcess, discussed recent research by Massachusetts Institute of Technology and OnProcess Technology, where MIT created a new, breakthrough analytics model for ...
In his keynote at 18th Cloud Expo, Andrew Keys, Co-Founder of ConsenSys Enterprise, provided an overview of the evolution of the Internet and the Database and the future of their combination – the Blockchain. Andrew Keys is Co-Founder of ConsenSys Enterprise. He comes to ConsenSys Enterprise with capital markets, technology and entrepreneurial experience. Previously, he worked for UBS investment bank in equities analysis. Later, he was responsible for the creation and distribution of life sett...
Successful digital transformation requires new organizational competencies and capabilities. Research tells us that the biggest impediment to successful transformation is human; consequently, the biggest enabler is a properly skilled and empowered workforce. In the digital age, new individual and collective competencies are required. In his session at 19th Cloud Expo, Bob Newhouse, CEO and founder of Agilitiv, drew together recent research and lessons learned from emerging and established compa...
20th Cloud Expo, taking place June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY, will feature technical sessions from a rock star conference faculty and the leading industry players in the world. Cloud computing is now being embraced by a majority of enterprises of all sizes. Yesterday's debate about public vs. private has transformed into the reality of hybrid cloud: a recent survey shows that 74% of enterprises have a hybrid cloud strategy.
Whether your IoT service is connecting cars, homes, appliances, wearable, cameras or other devices, one question hangs in the balance – how do you actually make money from this service? The ability to turn your IoT service into profit requires the ability to create a monetization strategy that is flexible, scalable and working for you in real-time. It must be a transparent, smoothly implemented strategy that all stakeholders – from customers to the board – will be able to understand and comprehe...
DevOps is being widely accepted (if not fully adopted) as essential in enterprise IT. But as Enterprise DevOps gains maturity, expands scope, and increases velocity, the need for data-driven decisions across teams becomes more acute. DevOps teams in any modern business must wrangle the ‘digital exhaust’ from the delivery toolchain, "pervasive" and "cognitive" computing, APIs and services, mobile devices and applications, the Internet of Things, and now even blockchain. In this power panel at @...
Extracting business value from Internet of Things (IoT) data doesn’t happen overnight. There are several requirements that must be satisfied, including IoT device enablement, data analysis, real-time detection of complex events and automated orchestration of actions. Unfortunately, too many companies fall short in achieving their business goals by implementing incomplete solutions or not focusing on tangible use cases. In his general session at @ThingsExpo, Dave McCarthy, Director of Products...
SYS-CON Events has announced today that Roger Strukhoff has been named conference chair of Cloud Expo and @ThingsExpo 2017 New York. The 20th Cloud Expo and 7th @ThingsExpo will take place on June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, NY. "The Internet of Things brings trillions of dollars of opportunity to developers and enterprise IT, no matter how you measure it," stated Roger Strukhoff. "More importantly, it leverages the power of devices and the Internet to enable us all to im...
Businesses and business units of all sizes can benefit from cloud computing, but many don't want the cost, performance and security concerns of public cloud nor the complexity of building their own private clouds. Today, some cloud vendors are using artificial intelligence (AI) to simplify cloud deployment and management. In his session at 20th Cloud Expo, Ajay Gulati, Co-founder and CEO of ZeroStack, will discuss how AI can simplify cloud operations. He will cover the following topics: why clou...
With major technology companies and startups seriously embracing IoT strategies, now is the perfect time to attend @ThingsExpo 2016 in New York. Learn what is going on, contribute to the discussions, and ensure that your enterprise is as "IoT-Ready" as it can be! Internet of @ThingsExpo, taking place June 6-8, 2017, at the Javits Center in New York City, New York, is co-located with 20th Cloud Expo and will feature technical sessions from a rock star conference faculty and the leading industry p...
Internet-of-Things discussions can end up either going down the consumer gadget rabbit hole or focused on the sort of data logging that industrial manufacturers have been doing forever. However, in fact, companies today are already using IoT data both to optimize their operational technology and to improve the experience of customer interactions in novel ways. In his session at @ThingsExpo, Gordon Haff, Red Hat Technology Evangelist, will share examples from a wide range of industries – includin...
"We build IoT infrastructure products - when you have to integrate different devices, different systems and cloud you have to build an application to do that but we eliminate the need to build an application. Our products can integrate any device, any system, any cloud regardless of protocol," explained Peter Jung, Chief Product Officer at Pulzze Systems, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at @ThingsExpo, held November 1-3, 2016, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA.