|By Marketwired .||
|November 19, 2012 07:20 PM EST||
VANCOUVER, BRITISH COLUMBIA -- (Marketwire) -- 11/20/12 --
To High River Gold Shareholders,
Both High River Gold and Nord Gold put out their Q3 financial results last week. Below is a comparison of the first 9 months of 2012:
HRG had production of 254.8koz. vs. Nord at 515.0k oz. - 49.5% of Nord's total. HRG had revenues of $422.5M vs. Nord at 851.1M - 49.6% of Nord's total. HRG had EBITDA of $208.8M vs. Nord at $349.2M - 59.8% of Nord's total. HRG had cash flow of $179.2M vs. Nord at $71.0M - 252% of Nord's total. HRG had a net profit of $137.0M vs. Nord at $123.2M - 111% of Nord's total. At end of Q3, HRG had liquidity of $257.7M (including $89.4M third party stock (Detour Gold), $113.3M loans to Nord and $55M in cash). It had $10.3M debt owed to the 50% partner in Prognoz. At end of Q3, Nord had $102.4M in cash and total debt of $523.2M.
Note: these numbers reflect 100% of both companies and do not deduct for non-controlling interests.
Without HRG, in the first 9 months of the year, Nord would have had negative cash flow of $108.2M, a loss of $13.8M and a negative cash balance of $10.9M. The EBITDA comparison continues to show the superior performance of HRG's assets over Nord's non-HRG assets. The cash flow and profit comparisons highlight the substantial debt that Nord is carrying.
There have been a few interesting events recently that are worth mentioning. Firstly, Nord has repaid $52.7M in loans to HRG bringing the total loans from HRG down to $113M. Secondly, in HRG's press release it says, "The Bissa project is on track to deliver first gold in H1 2013 and we now believe that production of gold at Bissa can be started in the earlier part of the announced period. " To remind you, a Morgan Stanley report dated Feb. 17, 2012 projects that Bissa will produce 95koz. of gold in 2013 and add $145M of EBITDA.
In regards to the Prognoz silver project, it is interesting to note that certain parties to the lock-up agreements (for the current offer) have some connection to both HRG and Prognoz via direct and indirect investments. Therefore, it would not be surprising if HRG/Nord and the other 50% partners in Prognoz come to some sort of agreement on settling legal disputes and bankruptcy proceedings next year. As I have stated previously, a spinoff of Prognoz would be beneficial to all parties - especially considering certain predictions that silver will play catch up to gold in terms of historic ratios. Prognoz is in the top ten silver properties in the world in terms of resources, but tops the list with grades.
Nord's most recent offer for HRG of $1.40 share is at a P/E of 7.3 vs. the industry average (for mid-cap gold producers) at a 25 P/E. Based on this average, Nord's cash offer should be $4.80/share. The share swap offer of .285 Nord share for each HRG share translates to 100% of HRG being worth 58% of Nord's total value. This is almost equal to the 59.8% of Nord's EBITDA contributed by HRG, however, this does not reflect HRG minority's portion of the $247.4M of HRG's net liquidity. When factoring this in, it brings 100% of HRG up to 70% of Nord's total value. This means HRG shareholders should have been offered 76M shares of Nord which works out to an exchange of .363 Nord share for each HRG share (calcs linked below). Even this number gives zero value for the Prognoz property.
Nord's offer expires in one week's time. To date we have collected confirmations from shareholders with approx. 90.2M shares (10.73% of total HRG shares and 43% of minority) that they will not tender to Nord's offer. This includes shares owned in funds managed by Eric Sprott (HRG's largest minority shareholder). Nord would have needed 90% of minority to tender to the current offer in order to squeeze the rest out. With 43% of minority indicating they will not tender, this should prevent this from happening on the Nov. 27th expiry date. Also, since those holding over 10% of total shares have indicate they will not tender, Nord will not be able to use an exemption eliminating the requirement for a majority of minority vote in a second stage transaction. To use this exemption they would have needed to own 90% of total shares. Therefore, if Nord wants to continue its buyout effort and acquire all shares and vote the shares tendered to this offer, it will have to announce a subsequent amalgamation offer and complete the transaction within 120 days of the expiry of the current offer. Nord would need to call a special shareholders meeting with proper notice, which puts the earliest possible meeting dates around Dec. 31 - Jan. 2 range - depending on mailing and preparation time. At this meeting, only those voting in person or by proxy count. If a majority of minority is required, we may already be able to win this vote with the 90.2M shares if Nord cannot get a greater number to vote in its favour. However, to be certain we will be able to block, it would be best if we collect another 14.6M shares to garner ultimate majority of minority (104.8M shares). As with Nord's take-over attempt in 2009, there are certain funds that will not confirm their share counts or intentions, but will vote with us anyway. Therefore, I believe our numbers to be greater than stated above.
If any funds owning HRG shares have not contacted me yet, I encourage you to do so. Confirming that we have support of majority of minority will send Nord the message that they need to up their offer significantly. If we defeat this offer outright, we could see a significant increase in HRG's share price. In 2009, when we defeated Severstal/Nord's offer, HRG's share price tripled within 5 months of the offer expiry date.
Link to HRG Q3 results
Link to share swap calculations
Disclaimer: I have received written or verbal confirmations of shareholder counts from those that will not tender. If any of these shareholders have changed their mind, since sold their shares, or not been accurate in their statements, it will change the share counts stated above.
SYS-CON Events announced today that HPM Networks will exhibit at the 17th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on November 3–5, 2015, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. For 20 years, HPM Networks has been integrating technology solutions that solve complex business challenges. HPM Networks has designed solutions for both SMB and enterprise customers throughout the San Francisco Bay Area.
Aug. 1, 2015 04:45 PM EDT Reads: 469
For IoT to grow as quickly as analyst firms’ project, a lot is going to fall on developers to quickly bring applications to market. But the lack of a standard development platform threatens to slow growth and make application development more time consuming and costly, much like we’ve seen in the mobile space. In his session at @ThingsExpo, Mike Weiner, Product Manager of the Omega DevCloud with KORE Telematics Inc., discussed the evolving requirements for developers as IoT matures and conducted a live demonstration of how quickly application development can happen when the need to comply wit...
Aug. 1, 2015 03:15 PM EDT Reads: 315
The Internet of Everything (IoE) brings together people, process, data and things to make networked connections more relevant and valuable than ever before – transforming information into knowledge and knowledge into wisdom. IoE creates new capabilities, richer experiences, and unprecedented opportunities to improve business and government operations, decision making and mission support capabilities.
Aug. 1, 2015 10:00 AM EDT Reads: 290
Explosive growth in connected devices. Enormous amounts of data for collection and analysis. Critical use of data for split-second decision making and actionable information. All three are factors in making the Internet of Things a reality. Yet, any one factor would have an IT organization pondering its infrastructure strategy. How should your organization enhance its IT framework to enable an Internet of Things implementation? In his session at @ThingsExpo, James Kirkland, Red Hat's Chief Architect for the Internet of Things and Intelligent Systems, described how to revolutionize your archit...
Jul. 30, 2015 07:30 PM EDT Reads: 1,408
MuleSoft has announced the findings of its 2015 Connectivity Benchmark Report on the adoption and business impact of APIs. The findings suggest traditional businesses are quickly evolving into "composable enterprises" built out of hundreds of connected software services, applications and devices. Most are embracing the Internet of Things (IoT) and microservices technologies like Docker. A majority are integrating wearables, like smart watches, and more than half plan to generate revenue with APIs within the next year.
Jul. 30, 2015 02:30 PM EDT Reads: 120
Growth hacking is common for startups to make unheard-of progress in building their business. Career Hacks can help Geek Girls and those who support them (yes, that's you too, Dad!) to excel in this typically male-dominated world. Get ready to learn the facts: Is there a bias against women in the tech / developer communities? Why are women 50% of the workforce, but hold only 24% of the STEM or IT positions? Some beginnings of what to do about it! In her Opening Keynote at 16th Cloud Expo, Sandy Carter, IBM General Manager Cloud Ecosystem and Developers, and a Social Business Evangelist, d...
Jul. 30, 2015 12:00 PM EDT Reads: 2,064
In his keynote at 16th Cloud Expo, Rodney Rogers, CEO of Virtustream, discussed the evolution of the company from inception to its recent acquisition by EMC – including personal insights, lessons learned (and some WTF moments) along the way. Learn how Virtustream’s unique approach of combining the economics and elasticity of the consumer cloud model with proper performance, application automation and security into a platform became a breakout success with enterprise customers and a natural fit for the EMC Federation.
Jul. 30, 2015 09:00 AM EDT Reads: 2,168
The Internet of Things is not only adding billions of sensors and billions of terabytes to the Internet. It is also forcing a fundamental change in the way we envision Information Technology. For the first time, more data is being created by devices at the edge of the Internet rather than from centralized systems. What does this mean for today's IT professional? In this Power Panel at @ThingsExpo, moderated by Conference Chair Roger Strukhoff, panelists addressed this very serious issue of profound change in the industry.
Jul. 29, 2015 03:00 PM EDT Reads: 1,280
Discussions about cloud computing are evolving into discussions about enterprise IT in general. As enterprises increasingly migrate toward their own unique clouds, new issues such as the use of containers and microservices emerge to keep things interesting. In this Power Panel at 16th Cloud Expo, moderated by Conference Chair Roger Strukhoff, panelists addressed the state of cloud computing today, and what enterprise IT professionals need to know about how the latest topics and trends affect their organization.
Jul. 29, 2015 02:00 PM EDT Reads: 1,191
It is one thing to build single industrial IoT applications, but what will it take to build the Smart Cities and truly society-changing applications of the future? The technology won’t be the problem, it will be the number of parties that need to work together and be aligned in their motivation to succeed. In his session at @ThingsExpo, Jason Mondanaro, Director, Product Management at Metanga, discussed how you can plan to cooperate, partner, and form lasting all-star teams to change the world and it starts with business models and monetization strategies.
Jul. 28, 2015 04:30 PM EDT Reads: 1,767
Converging digital disruptions is creating a major sea change - Cisco calls this the Internet of Everything (IoE). IoE is the network connection of People, Process, Data and Things, fueled by Cloud, Mobile, Social, Analytics and Security, and it represents a $19Trillion value-at-stake over the next 10 years. In her keynote at @ThingsExpo, Manjula Talreja, VP of Cisco Consulting Services, discussed IoE and the enormous opportunities it provides to public and private firms alike. She will share what businesses must do to thrive in the IoE economy, citing examples from several industry sectors.
Jul. 28, 2015 11:00 AM EDT Reads: 2,045
There will be 150 billion connected devices by 2020. New digital businesses have already disrupted value chains across every industry. APIs are at the center of the digital business. You need to understand what assets you have that can be exposed digitally, what their digital value chain is, and how to create an effective business model around that value chain to compete in this economy. No enterprise can be complacent and not engage in the digital economy. Learn how to be the disruptor and not the disruptee.
Jul. 27, 2015 10:00 AM EDT Reads: 2,034
Akana has released Envision, an enhanced API analytics platform that helps enterprises mine critical insights across their digital eco-systems, understand their customers and partners and offer value-added personalized services. “In today’s digital economy, data-driven insights are proving to be a key differentiator for businesses. Understanding the data that is being tunneled through their APIs and how it can be used to optimize their business and operations is of paramount importance,” said Alistair Farquharson, CTO of Akana.
Jul. 27, 2015 09:00 AM EDT Reads: 328
Business as usual for IT is evolving into a "Make or Buy" decision on a service-by-service conversation with input from the LOBs. How does your organization move forward with cloud? In his general session at 16th Cloud Expo, Paul Maravei, Regional Sales Manager, Hybrid Cloud and Managed Services at Cisco, discusses how Cisco and its partners offer a market-leading portfolio and ecosystem of cloud infrastructure and application services that allow you to uniquely and securely combine cloud business applications and services across multiple cloud delivery models.
Jul. 27, 2015 08:00 AM EDT Reads: 1,906
The enterprise market will drive IoT device adoption over the next five years. In his session at @ThingsExpo, John Greenough, an analyst at BI Intelligence, division of Business Insider, analyzed how companies will adopt IoT products and the associated cost of adopting those products. John Greenough is the lead analyst covering the Internet of Things for BI Intelligence- Business Insider’s paid research service. Numerous IoT companies have cited his analysis of the IoT. Prior to joining BI Intelligence, he worked analyzing bank technology for Corporate Insight and The Clearing House Payment...
Jul. 26, 2015 09:00 PM EDT Reads: 1,578
"Optimal Design is a technology integration and product development firm that specializes in connecting devices to the cloud," stated Joe Wascow, Co-Founder & CMO of Optimal Design, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at @ThingsExpo, held June 9-11, 2015, at the Javits Center in New York City.
Jul. 25, 2015 02:00 PM EDT Reads: 398
SYS-CON Events announced today that CommVault has been named “Bronze Sponsor” of SYS-CON's 17th International Cloud Expo®, which will take place on November 3–5, 2015, at the Santa Clara Convention Center in Santa Clara, CA. A singular vision – a belief in a better way to address current and future data management needs – guides CommVault in the development of Singular Information Management® solutions for high-performance data protection, universal availability and simplified management of data on complex storage networks. CommVault's exclusive single-platform architecture gives companies unp...
Jul. 25, 2015 01:00 PM EDT Reads: 1,962
Electric Cloud and Arynga have announced a product integration partnership that will bring Continuous Delivery solutions to the automotive Internet-of-Things (IoT) market. The joint solution will help automotive manufacturers, OEMs and system integrators adopt DevOps automation and Continuous Delivery practices that reduce software build and release cycle times within the complex and specific parameters of embedded and IoT software systems.
Jul. 25, 2015 12:15 PM EDT Reads: 476
"ciqada is a combined platform of hardware modules and server products that lets people take their existing devices or new devices and lets them be accessible over the Internet for their users," noted Geoff Engelstein of ciqada, a division of Mars International, in this SYS-CON.tv interview at @ThingsExpo, held June 9-11, 2015, at the Javits Center in New York City.
Jul. 25, 2015 12:00 PM EDT Reads: 1,542
Internet of Things is moving from being a hype to a reality. Experts estimate that internet connected cars will grow to 152 million, while over 100 million internet connected wireless light bulbs and lamps will be operational by 2020. These and many other intriguing statistics highlight the importance of Internet powered devices and how market penetration is going to multiply many times over in the next few years.
Jul. 25, 2015 09:00 AM EDT Reads: 1,492